News by Professionals 4 Professionals

Accidental IED detonation in capital Khartoum indicates Sudanese security services face intelligence failures …

EVENT

Sudan’s National Intelligence and Security Service (NISS) raided a property in the Arkaweet district of southern Khartoum on 12 February.

The raid followed a local police report that an improvised explosive device (IED) accidentally detonated while being assembled at the location. An NISS official subsequently stated on 13 February that three “Arab nationals” renting the property were injured in the blast and subsequently arrested and that materials for constructing low-impact IEDs were seized along with a number of Egyptian and Syrian passports.

FORECAST

The implied accusation of foreign involvement is most likely unreliable. The Sudanese government is motivated both to deal with a growing domestic trend of Islamist radicalisation to meet conditions for alleviating US economic sanctions and also to implicate the Egyptian government, with which it is engaged in a dispute over the construction of Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam and territorial demarcation of the Hala’ib triangle.

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